New Delhi: Exit polls soon after voting ended in Telangana and Rajasthan on Friday gave out interesting results. Of the five states, the BJP seems set to suffer because of severe anti-incumbency in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan. In all these states, the party had been in power for at least a decade. In Telangana, the saffron party anyway sought to find a foothold and has a negligible presence in Mizoram too.
As far as the performance of the Congress is concerned, it seems to have largely benefited from the anti-incumbency wave against the BJP. Both Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh are heading towards a hung Assembly while in Rajasthan, the Congress seems set to win with a majority.
Telangana, the state that went for its first Assembly elections since it was carved out of Andhra Pradesh in 2014, would most likely see the caretaker CM, KC Rao coming back to power with a huge margin. The mahakootami or the grand alliance that the Congress formed with the TDP, CPI and the TJS, hasn’t quite been able to deliver, predict exit polls.
Meanwhile, in Mizoram, the Congress seems headed towards losing bitterly to Opposition MDF. This would mean the grand old party losing the only state it had in N-E.
In Madhya Pradesh, the majority mark is 116 for the 230-seat Assembly. Of the many exit polls, some have given the BJP a majority; others have easily predicted the Congress crossing the majority mark or being a few seats less. Even so, the difference in the number of seats predicted for the two parties isn’t too big.
In Rajasthan, the majority mark is 101 out of the 200 seats. While the Zee News Maha Exit poll has given the Congress 109 seats, others have also given it the majority except for the Republic which has predicted 91 seats. The BJP, in contrast, has got anywhere between 80 and 90 seats in all exit polls.
In the 90-member Chhattisgarh assembly, the majority mark is 46. While Times Now-CNX gave a simple majority to the BJP and ABP said the saffron party would fare way better than the Congress, India-Today Axis predicted that the Congress is set to end Chief Minister Raman Singh’s 15-year old reign by winning anywhere between 55-65 seats.
All the exit polls agreed that former chief minister Ajit Jogi’s Janta Congress Chhattisgarh and the BSP may get to play the kingmaker in case of a hung Assembly.
In Telangana, exit polls were almost unanimous in predicting that TRS president and Chief Minister K Chandrashekar Rao’s gamble of advancing the assembly polls will pay off and he will retain power. Republic TV and Times Now gave his party 50-65 and 66 seats respectively in the 119-member assembly. One needs 60 seats for a clear majority in the 119-seat Assembly.
India Today forecast 75-91 for the ruling party.
For Mizoram, Zee News Maha Exit poll has predicted 18 seats for the MNF while the Congress’ tally would drop to 16 from 34 in 2013. According to Times Now-CNX, MNF will attain 18 seats while the Congress will win 16 seats. The exit polls by Republic-C-Voter showed the MNF getting between 16 and 20 seats. In the 40-seat Assembly, 21 seats would mean a clear majority.
The counting of votes for five states, including Mizoram besides the four states, will take place on December 11.