Assembly Elections 2017 Exit Poll Results: BJP ahead in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa, Manipur; close fight between Congress, AAP in Punjab

The exit polls for Assembly elections held in five states - Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa - have predicted gains for the Bharatiya Janata Party this year.

Written by: Pragati Ratti Sharma

Updated: March 10, 2017, 9:09 AM IST

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New Delhi, March 9: The exit polls for Assembly elections held in five states – Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa – have predicted gains for the Bharatiya Janata Party this year. The exit polls seem to be having no unanimity on the picture in Uttar Pradesh, while they are giving Congress an upper hand in Punjab with the AAP getting major gains. In Uttarakhand, the exit polls have predicted a clear win for the BJP, while in Manipur, even as it looks like a close contest, the exit polls have placed their bets on the BJP. In Goa too, the exit polls are giving the BJP the edge over the Congress even as the AAP may be getting no significant number.

Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections 2017 Exit Polls

The Times Now-VMR Exit Poll results predicts that the BJP is likely to emerge as a big winner in Uttar Pradesh. BJP to win 190-210 seats, the SP-Congress 110-130 and BSP 57-74, Others – 8, it says.

The India Today-Axis poll has predicted a landslide victory for the BJP in Uttar Pradesh with the party expected to win a whopping 251-279 seats. It gives 88-112 seats to the Congress, 28-42 to BSP and 6-16 to Others.

The India News-MRC exit poll has pointed at a hung Assembly in Uttar Pradesh, with the BJP emerging as the single largest party – BJP 185 seats, SP-Congress 120, BSP 90, Others 8. The India TV-CVoter exit poll also points at a hung assembly in the state.

The ABP-CSDS-Lokniti exit poll, too, is predicting BJP as the single largest party even as it points to a hung Assembly. The ABP-CSDS exit poll looks like this: BJP 164-176, SP 156-169, BSP 60-72 , Others 2-6. It has predicted 33-39 seats seats for the BJP in Phase 1, which covered 73 seats, 20-26 seats for SP-Congress, 12-16 seats for BSP and 0-2 for Others. In Phase 2, it predicts 37-43 seats for SP-Congress, 15-21 for BJP, 7-11 for BSP and 0-2 for Others. In Phase 3 with 69 seats, the exit poll says the BJP will get 22-33 seats, SP-Congress 25-31 seats, BSP 9-13 seats and Others 0-2 seats. In Phase 4 of 53 seats, the ABP-CSDS exit poll predicts: BJP 27-33 seats, SP-Congress 16-22, BSP 2-6, Others 0-2. In Phase 5, it says: BJP 18-24, SP-Congress 14-20, BSP 8-12 and Others 0-2. Phase 6: BJP 18-24, SP 14-20, BSP 8-12, Others 0-2. Phase 7: BJP 15-21 SEATS, SP 9-15 SEATS, BSP 6-8, Others 0-2.

The power-packed Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections for 404 seats took place in five phases between February 4 and March 8. Prime Minister Narendra Modi addressed 24 rallies in the state and in fact camped in Varanasi (that went to polls in the last phase) for three days. On the other hand, Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav announced an alliance between his party, the Samajwadi Party, and the Congress. A high voltage campaign was seen with multiple joint rallies of Akhilesh Yadav and Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi. Meanwhile, Bahujan Samaj Party Mayawati, in every rally, attacked PM Modi for his demonetisation move. This election saw potshots, abbreviations and sentiments run high as politicians made every pitch from development to caste and religion.

Punjab Assembly Elections 2017 Exit Polls

The India Today-Axis poll has predicted a Congress victory in Punjab with the party winning in 62 to 71 seats. It says that the AAP will win 42-51 seats while the SAD-BJP combine will be reduced to 4-7 seats.

The News24-Today’s Chanakya exit poll has predicted a tie between the Congress and the AAP in Punjab with both the parties at 54 seats each, while the SAD-BJP at a mere 9 seats.

The India News-MCR poll too has predicted a tie between the Congress and the AAP with both at 55 seats each.

The ABP-CSDS exit poll predicts a hung House in Punjab even as it says the Congress will emerge as the single largest party. The exit poll looks like this: SAD-BJP 19-27, Congress 46-56, AAP 36-46, Others 0-4.

The Punjab Assembly elections 2017 were held on February 4 for 117 seats in the state. For the first time in the history of Punjab, the state saw a three-way battle with the entry of the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party. Though without a Chief Ministerial face, the AAP launched a massive campaign across Punjab and has left the Captain Amarinder Singh-led Congress and the Parkash Singh Badal government nervous. Drugs, SYL canal link as well as the 1984 anti-Sikh riots have been among the top issues this election.On the other hand, News24-Today’s Chanakya predicts a tie between the Congress and the AAP in Punjab with both parties at 54 seats while the SAD-BJP combine is reduced to 9 seats.

Uttarakhand Assembly Elections 2017 Exit Polls

The News 24 – Today’s Chanakya exit poll has predicted a clean sweep for the BJP in Uttarakhand with the party expected to win 53 seats, while the Congress is expected to be reduced to 15 seats and Others 2 seats.

The India Today-Axis exit poll also predicts a clear BJP win in Uttarakhand with 46-53 seats, Congress 12-21 seats, BSP 1-2 seats while Others 1-4 seats.

On the other hand, the India TV-CVoter exit poll has predicted a hung Assembly, in fact a tie in Uttarakhand. According to this exit poll, both the Congress and the BJP can get 29-35 seats each.

The Uttarakhand Assembly Elections were held on February 15 for 71 seats. Uttarakhand this year has seen a fierce battle with rebels wreaking havoc within the Congress as well as the Bharatiya Janata Party. There were at least 1000 candidates who switched loyalties in the state. What’s more interesting is that these rebels chose to contest against the party that they had quit or had been expelled from on the same seat. Uttarakhand has seen a political turmoil in the past one year with the BJP asking for a President Rule in the state while the Harish Rawat government proved its majority retaining power. The Congress government in the state has tried to use BJP’s ‘foul play’ as a poll plank this election. Meanwhile, the BJP is hoping that ‘Modi wave’ will prevail in Uttarakhand too.

Manipur Assembly Elections 2017 Exit Polls

In Manipur, the India TV-CVoter exit poll has predicted a close contest even as the BJP, according to it, emerges as the winner with 25-31 seats, Congress 23-25 seats. However, the India Today-Axis exit poll predicts gains for the BJP, but says the Congress will retain power: BJP 16-22, Congress 30-36, NPF 3-5, Others 3-6.

The Manipur Assembly Elections 2017 were held in two phases on March 4 and March 8. As the economic blockade and AFSPA issues continue to prevail in Manipur, the BJP went all out for a high-pitch campaign in the state. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, at his Imphal rally, promised to remove the economic blockade and BJP President Amit Shah even said that this will be done within 24 hours of the party coming to power. Activist Irom Sharmila, who has been fighting against AFSPA for the past 16 years, also entered the fray, even as she contested only on three seats. Meanwhile, Manipur Chief Minister Okram Ibobi Singh remains popular, especially is his own constituency of Thoubal.

Goa Assembly Elections 2017 Exit Polls

According to the IndiaTV-CVoter exit poll, the BJP seems to be just winning the 40-seat Goa with 15-21 seats, while the Congress is predicted to win 12-18 seats, the AAP 0-4 seats and Others 2-8 seats.

The India Today-Axis exit poll, too, has given the mandate to the ruling BJP in Goa: BJP 18-22, Congress 9-13, AAP 0-2, SS alliance 3-6.

The India News-MRC exit poll has predicted a hung House in Goa with the BJP at 15, Congress 10, AAP 7, Others 8.

The Goa Assembly Elections for 40 seats were held on February 4. Like Punjab, Goa, too, has seen the entry of the Aam Aadmi Party in the state politics, making this election a four-cornered fight between the ruling BJP, Congress, the AAP and the grand alliance of Shiv Sena, Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Party (MGP) and Goa Suraksha Manch (GSM). The state saw a record voter turnout this year of 83 per cent. Even as former chief minister and now Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar is out of the state, in the Centre, he has campaigned tirelessly along with Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the state.