Patna, November 8: The trends and leads of the Bihar Assembly elections 2015, have shown a 360 degree turn. Where the early trends were showing Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) lead National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was leading on more seats than the Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal United lead Grand Alliance, now the trends are completely opposite. BJP had even started celebrating the early trends but perhaps they were a little to quick to do so. Now as the trends have stabilised, the exit poll survey conducted by has come very close to becoming the most accurate survey conducted by Indian news media, in predicting a clear victory for the Grand Alliance. Also Read: Bihar Assembly Election Results 2015 Live Updates: Grand Alliance leads on 151 seats, BJP+ 80

Now the trends depict that BJP is performing even worse in these elections that the last Assembly elections. The current figures show that BJP+ has slipped to below 80 seats on which they are leading that the Grand Alliance had gathered stupendous pace and their current stands at 157 seats on which they are leading. What the current trends can predict is that the Rashtriya Janata Dal lead by Lalu Prasad Yadav will be highest winner and the Janata Dal United lead by Nitish Kumar will come second. The BJP will come in third.

It seems now that all the tricks and strategies employed by Narendra Modi in Bihar, combined with the power of his high octane campaigning have all failed to woo the voters in the state. exit poll survey had indicated that Nitish Kumar will become the chief minister for the third time and the Grand Alliance including Janata Dal United, Rashtriya Janata Dal and Congress, will win with 120-130 seats. The NDA including BJP, Rashtriya Lok Samata Party, Lok Janshakti Party and Hinduatni Awam Morcha will be overpowered and will only secure 100-110 seats. The other exit poll surveys on the other had not predicted a clear victory for either side, except the Chanakya exit poll survey, which had predicted a win for the NDA.

While the broad trends from various exit polls forecast a neck-to-neck fight between Grand Alliance and NDA, Today’s Chanakya on News 24 channel gave the BJP and its allies a strong majority with 155 seats (plus minus 11 seats) and the rival JDU-led alliance 80 (plus minus 9). India Today Cicero survey had predicted that BJP+ will win 111-124 seats, while NDA will win 113-127 seats. Times Now C Voter survey had predicted that NDA will win 111 seats, while JDU+ will win exact 122 seats and form government.

ChannelGrand AllianceNDAOthers
ITG Cicero111-124113-12719
Times Now C-Voter12211110
News X130-14090-10023-3
India TV112-132101-12120
News Nation120-124115-1198
Today’s Chanakya801555

The Bharatiya Janata Party has already issued a statement that they accept the mandate of the Bihar elections, while congratulations pour out for the Grand Alliance from all corners of the political class of country. BJP spokesperson Ram Madhav told Times Now that they are not into politics to win elections and they humbly accept the verdict. Madhav also said that the party needs time to analyse the defeat. Even as celebrations have broken out all over Patna, with crackers and sweets galore outside RJD offices, politicos have joined in a chorus to sing praises of Nitish Kumar and felicitating their ‘historic win’. These elections have established the exit poll survey as an authentic representation of the performance of the political parties in these path breaking elections.