This is turning out to be Narendra Modi’s year. After winning the Lok Sabha Polls by a landslide margin, the Bhartiya Janata Party is predicted to cross the majority mark of 46 out of 90 seats in the Maharashtra Assembly, winning 50 seats according to exit polls. The ABP News – Nielsen Exit Poll predicts the Om Prakash Chautala led- INLD to win 22 seats to form the largest opposition party while the Congress will fall to third position with 10 seats. Haryana Janhit Congress will win 2 seats and other parties and independents will win 3 in total, according to the poll.  (Read: Exit Polls 2014 Assembly Elections in Maharashtra, Haryana: Twitter goes abuzz after voting ends)

Party

2009

2014 (acc to Exit Poll)

Congress

40

10

BJP

4

50

INLD

31

22

HJC

6

2

Others

9

3

The Narendra Modi wave would be considered a fact if the exit polls turn out to be true as the Bhartiya Janata Party could pull off its biggest victory in Haryana by crossing the majority mark in the state with 52 seats, up from just 4 seats in the 2009 assembly elections, according to the exit poll. The Congress will be the biggest loser in the state falling from 40 seats in 2009 to a possible figure of 10, going by the survey. Indian National Lok Dal will win 23 seats. The Independents and other parties, which includes the Haryana Janhit Party, could win just 5 seats in total. This has been predicted by the News 24 and Today’s Chanakya exit poll.

PARTY

2014

2009

BJP

37

4

INLD

28

31

Congress

15

40

HJC

6

6

Others

4

9

The Bhartiya Janata Party could possibly be the single largest party in Haryana with 37 votes, according to Times Now-CVoter exit polls, up from the four seats it won in the 2009 assembly elections. The Congress Party’s woes don’t seem to end as they are possibly destined to go out of power after winning just 15 seats according to the survey. The largest opposition in the 2009 assembly election, the jailed-Om Prakash Chautala’s Indian National Lok Dal will again be the second largest party with 28 seats. The Haryana Janhit Congress will win six seats while four seats will be shared among independents and other parties.

PARTY

Change

2014

2009

Congress

-25

15

40

BJP

33

37

4

INLD

-3

28

31

HJC

0

6

6

Others

-5

4

9

Haryana is having an election that might be dirtier than usual. While caste based politics was a regular feature during elections, this time there is convict fighting elections from jail in the form of the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) chief Om Prakash Chautala. The Bhartiya Janata Party is also gaining ground in the state. All this has resulted in a three way battle for the state with Congress’ Bhoopinder Singh Hooda looking for his third term as Chief Minister. (Read: Haryana Assembly Elections 2014: Heavy polling in the state) The polling has gone well in the state with it recording an over 50% turnout at 3pm itself, with two hours of polling left. The voter turnout ended at 72% at the end of the day. But the assembly election was also marred by violence with two persons being injured in firing during a clash between two groups in Sirsa with a relative of Chautala being one of them. Sirsa is a key battle ground of the state with Makhanlal Singla of INLD taking on Smt. Sunita Setiya of BJP and Naveen Kumar Kediya of Congress. In 2009, Congress had come to power with 45 seats after they won 40 seats and later 5 MLAs defected from Haryana Janhit Congress (HJC). Those 5 MLAs have been barred from fighting this election by the Punjab and Haryana High Court. This election could be a litmus test for Hooda as a similar situation will be improbable. Here is the comparison of Maharashtra Assembly Election results in 2009 as compared to the Exit Poll results according to IT-Cicero.

Political Party2009IT-Cicero
BJP46117-131
Congress8230-40
Shiv Sena4466-76
NCP6224-34
MNS134-10
Others4118-26