Bengaluru, May 13: Soon after the polling for the 224-seat Karnataka Assembly ended on Saturday, the results of different exit polls presented a conflicting picture. While some gave the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) an edge over the ruling Congress, others predicted that the Congress might get the most seats, making it a strong contender to form the next government in the state that it has been ruling for the past five years. The magic mark will be 112 seats as the polling was held on 222 Assembly constituencies. However, in an overall scenario, the exit polls have not given any party a clear winning margin.
However, most exit polls agreed on one point; there will be no clear winners in the fiercely fought Karnataka Assembly election 2018. So post-poll alliances will play a crucial role in forming the next government in the state. One exception was the Today’s Chanakya-Times Now exit poll that predicted a clear majority for the BJP with 120 seats. It predicted 73 seats for the Congress and 26 for the JD(S).
Meanwhile, the other exit polls were divided over the party emerging as the single largest party in Karnataka. On one end of the spectrum were ABP News-C-Voter and NewsX-CNX exit polls which predicted big wins for the BJP but a hung Assembly still. While ABP News-C-Voter said the BJP would get 101-113 seats with the Congress coming a second with wins on 82-94 seats, it gave JD(S) anywhere between 18 and 31 seats. NewsX-CNX predicted 102-110 seats in the BJP’s kitty with the Congress emerging victorious on 72-78 seats.
On the other end were the India TV-VMR, Times Now-VMR, and India Today-Axis My India exit polls which predicted a hung Assembly with the Congress emerging as the single largest party. While Times Now-VMR predicted a Congress win on anywhere between 90 and 103 seats, India Today-Axis My India was more optimistic and predicted between 106 and 118 seats for the party.
India TV-VMR took the middle ground here and predicted a Congress win on 97 seats. For BJP, Times Now-VMR had 80-93 seats going; India Today-Axis My India foresaw 79-92 seats while India TV-VMR gave, at best, 87 seats to the BJP. JD(S) would emerge victorious on anywhere between 31 and 39 seats, they predicted. Counting of votes would be done on May 15, Tuesday.