New Delhi, Jan 29: Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is likely to come to power in Punjab in its debut Assembly elections in the state, according to VDPAssociates, an agency which studies electoral trends of India. As per the agency, AAP will bag 35 per cent votes, Congress 33 and SAD-BJP alliance will get just 26. While SAD will alone get 26% votes, its partner BJP will bag 5%. Other smaller parties and independents will secure 6% votes in the border state. Also Read - Yearender 2017: Elections That BJP Won Under Narendra Modi's Leadership This Year
AAP will get a simple majority bagging 62 seats in the 117-member Assembly while Congress will end at second place with 44 MLAs. The SAD-BJP combine face a rout and may end up with just seven seats after 10 years of rule.
The agency, which released its pre-poll survey on Sunday, covered 14 districts. The survey took place between January 23 and January 28. A total of 42 constituencies and 167 polling booths were covered in the survey and the sample size had 77 per cent rural profile and 23 per cent urban profile.
Earlier, an opinion poll of ABP news predicted SAD-BJP as the clear winner in Punjab.
Punjab Assembly Elections 2017 Opinion Poll
The opinion poll results are based upon the survey conducted by ABP News-Lokniti CSDS.
- SAD-BJP is projected to win 50-58 seats.
- Congress is predicted to secure 41-49 seats.
- AAP has been reduced to 12-18 seats, in terms of projection.
- SAD-BJP is predicted to bag 34 per cent vote share.
- Congress to secure 31 per cent of the votes.
- AAP would receive the votes of 21 per cent electorate.
- On October 19, 2016, Huffington Post India and CVoter had mentioned in its reports that the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) will gain majority in the state with 100 seats in the upcoming Punjab polls in 2017.
- Also, India Trending Now had declared AAP as a winner in its opinion poll.
Aam Aadmi Party is going to be a crucial contender in the upcoming polls and the VDPAssociates survey will come as a morale booster. In the last Assembly elections held in 2012, the SAD-BJP alliance won majority whereas now the party is facing anti-incumbency. Congress and Aam Aadmi Party are giving a tough competition to the ruling alliance in Punjab.