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Zee Opinion Poll For Garhwal (Uttarakhand): Congress Gains in Vote Share, AAP Makes Inroads

Uttarakhand Assembly Election Opinion Poll: As the Uttarakhand state is divided into two administrative divisions namely Kumaon and Garhwal, Zee News' opinion poll was focused on two divisions separately.

Updated: January 17, 2022 8:19 PM IST

By News Desk | Edited by Rajashree Seal

Zee Opinion Poll For Garhwal (Uttarakhand): Congress Gains in Vote Share, AAP Makes Inroads

New Delhi: In the Garhwal region of Uttarakhand, the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to face a marginal cut in its vote share with 42.6 percent votes in the upcoming Uttarakhand Assembly elections against its 46.41 per cent vote share in the previous Assembly polls, according to India’s biggest opinion poll conducted by leading news channel Zee News’ DesignBoxed on Monday. The pre-poll survey ‘Janta Ka Mood’ was held to predict the voter’s mood in the hill state. It not only forecasted the total seat and vote share a party is projected to win in the biggest round of assembly elections, but it also predicted the region-wise numbers which will give viewers a comprehensive picture of the ground.

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Which Party got what percentage of votes in Uttarakhand’s Garhwal?

BJP — 42.6 %
CONG — 38.4 %
AAP  — 13.8 %
OTH — 5.2 %

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People’s Choice for Post of Uttarakhand CM

When the respondents in Garhwal were asked whom they want to see as the next Chief Minister of Uttarakhand, 43% of participants voted for Congress leader Harish Rawat while 23% of people voted for BJP leader Pushkar Dhami. BJP’s Anil Baluni was at the third position with 17% and only 8 per cent of participants said they want to see AAP’s Col. Ajay Kothyal as the CM of the state.

Pushkar Singh Dhami (BJP) — 30%
Harish Rawat (CONG)  — 40%
Anil Baluni (BJP) — 17%
Col Ajay Kothiyal (AAP) — 07 %
OTHERS —06 %

How many seats to whom in Uttarakhand’s Garhwal?

BJP —22-24
CONGRESS — 15-17
AAP — 0-1
OTHERS — 0-1

In Uttarakhand, the Assembly Polls will be held on February 14 to elect the 70-member State Legislative Assembly and the counting of votes will take place on March 10. And, to present a complete scenario of poll-bound Uttarakhand, Zee News’ Biggest Opinion Poll had divided the state into two administrative divisions — Garhwal region that consists of 7 districts and 41 Assembly seats of the Garhwal region and the rest 29 Assembly seats of the Kumaon region that has 6 districts.

Methodology of Zee News-DesignBoxed Opinion Poll

The Zee News-DesignBoxed survey is one of the most accurate opinion polls in the country. Zee News-DesignBoxed reached out to people across 70 seats of poll-bound Uttarakhand between December 10, 2021, to January 15, 2022. The survey was done among randomly selected eligible adults and asked people about the most important issue and the factors that would help reach a decision. The opinion poll also asked people about their preferred choice for the Chief Minister and how caste dynamics swayed the voting decision. The Zee News-DesignBoxed would also emphasize that despite all precautions taken during the sample survey, a margin of +/-4% is always a possibility if we take into account the respondents’ deviation from the sample.

Also, the numbers in the opinion poll are not the actual predictions but a projection based on a sample survey. This survey is the base for the Opinion poll and not actual results.

What Happened in the Uttarakhand Assembly Elections held in 2017 and 2012? 

In 2017, the Bharatiya Janata Party had formed the government in Uttarakhand after winning 57 of the 70 seats. The saffron party had left the Congress reeling in distant second position with 11 seats. However, in the tenure of five years (2017-2022), the BJP was forced to change the Chief Minister thrice in Uttarakhand. Trivendra Singh Rawat had replaced Tirath Singh Rawat last year, Pushkar Singh Dhami, on the other hand, had replaced Tirath Singh Rawat a few months ahead of the polls.

PartySeats contestedSeats won
Indian National Congress (INC)7011
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)7057
Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)700
Uttarakhand Kranti Dal (P)440
Total –70

Uttarakhand Assembly Election Results 2012:

PartySeats contestedSeats won
Indian National Congress (INC)7032
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)7031
Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)703
Uttarakhand Kranti Dal (P)441
Total –70

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Published Date: January 17, 2022 7:28 PM IST

Updated Date: January 17, 2022 8:19 PM IST