London, June 8: The results of snap general elections in United Kingdom is scheduled to be declared today. Polling across the 650 constituencies concluded at 10 PM (local time). Following the completion of polls in all parliamentary segments, ballot counting was initiated by election officials. Stay tuned with India.com for live trends and results emerging from England, Wales, Scotland, Yorks and other parts of UK.
The key electoral battle was contested between Prime Minister Theresa May’s Conservative Party and the prime opposition – Labour, headed by leftist Jeremy Corbyn.
The forecast released ahead of the elections gave May the edge in fight against Corbyn. However, the dwindling lead of Tories made pollsters skeptical about the findings of the surveys, with some predicting that Corbyn may emerge as a surprise winner.
Despite holding a lead of nearly 20 percentage points when the snap polls were announced, the difference between Tories and Labour came down to as low as one percent a day ahead of the polls. The final survey released by Survation predicted 41 per cent votes for Conservatives and 40 per cent for the Labour party.
The latest YouGov poll, however, predicted May to secure a comfortable victory, with a percentile lead of 7 per cent. The survey predicts 41 and 35 per cent votes for Conservatives and Labour respectively. The findings are based on the inputs received between June 5-7. It further predicts 10 per cent vote share for Liberal Democrats, and 5 per cent each for the right-wing UK Independence Party (UKIP) and the Scotland-based Scottish National Party (SNP).
If the YouGov poll is an indication of the final tally to emerge today, then Conservatives would end up emerging victorious on 376 seats.
UK General Elections 2017 Forecast
The mean of opinion poll released so far leads to the following the prediction:
However, the credibility of pollsters has severely been dented in wake of the faulty predictions made during Brexit and US Presidential elections 2016. The latter serves as a case in point for Corbyn supporters, as most of the credible opinion polls had predicted a victory with at least 2 percentage points for Hillary Clinton. Similar to Donald Trump, Labour supporters hope Corbyn would trump May in the polls held today.
Results of UK General Elections 2015
|Scottish National Party||56||1,454,436|
Beating an incumbency of 5 years, then then Prime Minister David Cameron not only won the elections, but secured a single-handed majority for the Tories. Since the rout, Labour underwent structural changes, with the party electing Marxist-leaning leader Jeremy Corbyn as its chief. The rise of Scottish National Party, on the secessionist agenda, also spoilt the prospects of Labour, as the party used to secure a significant electoral hold in the region.
The outcome of UK general elections 2017 would predict the foreign strategy to be adopted by post-Brexit Britain. May, who sought a brute majority to deal with European Union leaders in a firm manner, was challenged by Corbyn, saying, “I can get a better post-Brexit deal if elected to power.” In terms of foreign policy, Britain could be headed towards a tectonic shift if Corbyn gets elected to power. The Labour leader has promised to end defence trade ties with Saudi Arabia, calling it a perpetrator of war atrocities in Yemen. Corbyn has further vowed to prevent UK’s participation in the war underway in Syria, blaming it for the rise of radicalism in UK. Corbyn, heading the Stop The War Coalition, has also vowed to push the agenda of unilateral nuclear disarmament if elected to power.